Wednesday ends August – without a single named hurricane in the Atlantic Basin.

It was not until the third August since 1960 that there was no named storm during the month. The season has been sleepy to say the least, with only three named storms since the season began on June 1.

Warren Madden, a meteorologist with the CARCAH (Aerial Reconnaissance Coordination All Hurricanes) unit at NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, was a guest on our podcast, Across the Sky, earlier this month so that he was guiding us through the life of a hurricane. hunter. You can check out the link to the podcast here:

“Early in the season, we’ll usually see spin-up hurricanes that originate just off the gulf or the east coast,” Madden said. “These spin-ups happen at the start of the season. But generally, the peak period of the season is from mid-August to late September or early October.

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However, this slow start does not mean that it will be an overall calm season. On Aug. 4, NOAA updated its outlook, calling for 14 to 20 named storms, with 6 to 10 becoming hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or more. And of those, three to five could become major hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or more.

So far, we’ve only seen three named storms – Alex, Bonnie, and Colin. Danielle and Earl now patiently wait their turn as two disturbances persist in the Atlantic Basin. Chances remain high that at least one disturbance could ignite by Labor Day weekend, ending the hurricane’s dry spell.

The storm with the most potential persists in the Atlantic, several hundred kilometers east of the Lesser Antilles. Although still a disorganized storm, a gradual development should form by the second half of the week. In fact, within the next five days, the National Hurricane Center gives it an 80% chance of forming.

“NOAA’s Aviation Operations Center is already conducting search missions into (this disruption) and the Air Force is ready to conduct reconnaissance missions when forecasters here at the request of the NHC,” said Madden.

The second persistent disturbance, a tropical wave, is nestled just off the west coast of Africa, and according to the NHC, it could develop into a short-lived tropical depression over the next few days, but further development would be limited due to freshness. waters he may encounter.

“After two very busy seasons in 2020 and 2021, I’m certainly not complaining that August was quiet,” Madden said. “My best advice is to use this quiet time to prepare.”