(KMAland) – As the harvest season speeds up, it looks like rural America will experience some variability in the weather forecast.
Ryan Martin is an agricultural meteorologist from Warsaw, Indiana. He says the corn belt will likely have drier weather come harvest time.
“It looks like much of the maize belt, in my opinion, is going to face below normal rainfall, so we are looking at a drier crop, at least initially.” So here from mid-September through the end of October, I think we’re going to have below-normal rainfall, which is good and will help things dry out. It seems like if there’s an active precipitation trail it tends to want to cross the Upper Midwest which can bring a bit more moisture to places like Minnesota, Wisconsin, the northern Great Lakes and Michigan. , but overall I don’t see too many problems in the corn belt as far as harvest goes at least now through October. You go later in the season, and we might start to get a bit more active, but we’ll have to see.”
Although there is rain in the Upper Midwest, there should be enough windows between events for the harvest to take place.
“By all means, I think it’s an easy decision here. I think the harvest will be able to take place. What we encounter, however, is that it’s been the garden all year. So that’s where we see the growth continuing as long as the temperatures stay warm. It may not dry out as quickly there as the crops mature because we have a lot of moisture, both in the soil profile and from those timely rains that are coming.
He says drought problems persist in the central and southern plains.
“I have significant concerns about the Central and Southern Plains with regards to HRW, the Hard Red Winter Wheat Belt planting, that must be the story here going forward. I expect we will be well below normal for precipitation there. We’ve seen dusted wheat before in parts of Kansas and Oklahoma. For now, nothing changes that. And when the rains come the systems aren’t too loaded with moisture so we see some moisture but if you get half an inch and you need an inch and a half or more to get the profile from the ground, it just won’t happen and it won’t work. So I think the harvest in Nebraska is going to be fine. Wheat planting in Kansas is going to be tricky, and as far as the crop in Kansas goes, a lot of the crop has already been burned, and there are some issues there anyway, so I think the crop is going be fine with what they have left in Kansas.
There are also challenges for the Deep South.
“That’s where I think we have our problems, and that’s where we’ve also had problems so far. With the abundant moisture coming into the delta, we have quality issues regarding the crop which has happened so far, and all that’s left is going to be the peak of any kind of potential tropical outbreak scenario, so we already have a few stronger storms in the Atlantic, and nothing is directly affecting land, but throws moisture in the deep south. I think that continues at least until mid-October, and we slow down the tropical season quite quickly in the second half of the month. But I think that the humidity problems we’ve seen, so far, aren’t going away exceptionally fast in the Deep South.
Again, it’s agricultural meteorologist Ryan Martin.